Wednesday, May 20, 2020

In-Depth Analysis of the COVID-19 Impact on Indonesia Dairy Food Market Product Segments: Ken Research

The COVID-19 outbreak has been declared a pandemic by the WHO, causing a huge impact on people’s lives, families, communities, and businesses. Within Indonesia, the economic impact is apparent through the fall of the Indonesian stock exchange and Rupiah. Meanwhile, the government has followed certain countermeasures that were previously implemented by other affected countries; it has caused numerous businesses to turn to online-based platforms to currently survive.
Businesses will face a long road to recovery after being constantly hungry for profits for an unknown period of time. The infection has spared only a few businesses, mostly offering healthcare products-services, while many other businesses, for instance, travel and tourism, hospitality, and food & beverage industries experienced major disruptions. Supply chains are in turmoil and many offline businesses (no matter how big in size) is further getting closed. Many Indonesians (particularly in the informal sector) survive on limited wages of USD 100-200 per month. The country is competing in a public health war against COVID-19 alongside facing recession due to limited financial resources.
The COVID-19 pandemic has also brought everyday human activity to a grinding halt, with economies across the world taking a hit, Indonesia is no exception. Multiple sectors felt the blow in the form of interferences in the cash flow & business operations as the outbreak caused forcing employees to work from home, while others contribute to unemployment levels in the country. Apart from that, startup investments in China and other Asian countries broadly faced a decline since the onset of the COVID-19 crisis. The potential growth trajectories of start-ups and small businesses are already hurting because of forced closure and falling sales/demand.
Most businesses are focusing on survival as the markets have become highly uncertain and are socially distant. With the increasing restrictions, consumers continue to stock up on essentials thus, making grocers, delivery services, and E-commerce companies adopt a rapid pace to meet consumer demand. Amongst Southeast Asia, Indonesia is one of the leading countries with 175.4 million internet users (64.0% penetration) and 338.2 million mobile phone connections, therefore, highlighting the growing digital base which has enforced more significance & greater participation of E-commerce activities in the retail and food & beverages segment.
COVID-19 pandemic has been changing the behavior of Indonesian consumers in terms of spending and lifestyle choices to distribution/shopping channels used and media consumed. However, it could benefit the dairy industry as consumers could shift from meat-based to dairy-based protein amid supply chain disruptions. During initial phases of the restrictions imposed by the Indonesian government, both milk procurement as well as sales of milk was collectively impacted in several cities of the country. The decline in liquid milk sales further caused interruptions in the manufacturing of dairy by-products such as condensed milk, cream, butter, cheese, and others. Trade halts from neighboring countries such as China, Vietnam, Singapore, and others also created roadblocks in the supply of milk raw materials and finished goods.
In order to tackle the situation, dairy food manufacturers firstly initiated home delivery of milk and milk-based products via mobile carts, vans and E-commerce. Government of Indonesia, as well as the dairy cooperative, is working on providing subsidies to dairy farmers alongside emphasizing on regular feeding and health care of dairy-based cattle to have no impact on reproductive efficiency and productivity.
Impact on Retail and F&B Segment:
In accordance with the data from PT Moka Teknologi Indonesia, i.e. a local startup that provides digital cashier services to more than 30,000 merchants in Indonesia, multiple industries had experienced losses due to the pandemic, including the service and retail industry, with F&B segment had seen the largest impact. Surabaya in East Java and Bali saw the leading decline that was approximately 26.0% and 18.0% fall in daily earnings respectively. As a result of which, major restaurant chains in Indonesia have chosen to temporarily shut down operations including the Ismaya Group - 20 restaurant brands with more than 60 outlets and the Boga Group – 150 restaurants in the country.
Top cities that were majorly affected in the retail sector constitute of West Jakarta, South Tangerang, Depok, Central Jakarta and Bandung regions, with biggest daily earnings decline recorded in West Jakarta i.e. close to a 32% fall in daily earnings per outlet. The total number of visitors to shopping malls drastically decreased, causing several malls to also temporarily shut their doors but still opening to access to tenants serving basic needs, such as supermarkets and pharmacies. In accordance with the Indonesian Shopping Center Tenant Association, the number of mall visitors dropped by 50% in the month of March following the announcement of positive COVID-19 cases. The particular the number is further expected to go down in Indonesia as the government urged people to stay as well as work from home.
Efficient Strategies Adopted by the Market Players:
Local companies are increasingly adopting spraying of disinfectants in order to stop the entry of coronavirus from any external medium. Apart from that, safety standards are being laid into place for factory workers and other employees for the prevention of COVID-19. Alongside the termination of consumption outside home, the global crisis also caused an increase in sales of foods at home which greatly affected the impulse ice cream business of major international players such as Unilever. Apart from product innovation, local manufacturers will continue to generate sales by expanding product distribution to multiple regions that have relatively showcased limited sales in past few years. They would continue to launch a variety of new product variants that would also sit well with the affordable price needs of price-sensitive Indonesian consumers.
Aice Group Holdings seems to be positive in expanding by setting up the 3rd factory in Sumatra region amid pandemic effects. In addition, they will launch approximately five new products that will be adjusted to current market needs.
Increased consumption of dairy products i.e. either fermented by lactic acid bacteria or fortified with prebiotics/probiotics was also encouraged in the interest of improving gut health among Indonesians. However, procurement and supply issues persist. The coronavirus pandemic represents a further challenge to the country’s coffee-producing sector which was already suffering a prolonged period of inefficient production as well as low prices. As a result, a negative impact was seen towards the demand for cream and NDCs (coffee whiteners) in Indonesia.
Domestic demand for cheese has not always been fully met in Indonesia by the local companies. As a result, numerous international players such as Kraft Foods entered the market. Kraft Heinz factories were observed to work a total of 3 shifts a day in order to meet the increased demand for its products as stockpiling for a pandemic has left many grocery stores shelves empty. The sales for 2020 would clearly record a dip due to the low production and availability of cheese and cheese related products in the market.
Panic buying has left grocers with empty trolleys therefore, increasing a burden for the yogurt producer to fill the supply-demand gap during COVID-19. During the pandemic situation, people are expected to carry out clean as well as healthy behavior by keeping the body stamina strong. Various methods are being used in order to maintain strong stamina including increasing consumption of diverse & nutritious foods such as yogurt and sour milk.
 Domestic demand, as well as B2B demands for margarine, is largely affected due to the global lockdown situation causing a decline in terms of production capacity. As a result, Fonterra was observed to establish a partnership with Lazada Indonesia to bring changes in the retail concept and digitalizing sales while Upfield plans to further launch a new product “New Flora Plant”. The impact of coronavirus has still been haunting the domestic industry that was specifically indulged in the online buying & selling process for imported goods in Indonesia. Major focus is also being given on marketing the products in a safe & sanitized manner across Indonesia to regain the confidence of the consumers.
Shifts in the Industry Practices:
Businesses in Indonesia is bracing for a longer recovery period of around 5 months as revenues are reportedly being down since the start of the pandemic’s impact on the market. Hiring, BTL campaigns, and research budgets have taken substantial cuts while there has been a shift in focus to E-commerce selling and an increase in digital media budgets. The digital wave is supposed to have a cascading effect on the offline business of the suppliers & many of them will now focus on leading a digital life with ease of services & enhanced product portfolios and will realize the importance of digital presence and tools in expanding their market reach and revenue.
Coronavirus is expected to change the way we people shop, travel and work over the long term thus, ushering a new era where work from is an increasing part of people’s regular schedule. On the supply side, international manufacturers are being forced to reevaluate where to produce and sell goods, caused by an accelerating shift after the US-China trade war increasing import dependency for dairy raw material.
Key Segments Covered: -
Product Type
Drinking Milk Product
Flavoured Milk Drinks
Dairy only Flavored Milk Drinks
Flavored Milk Drinks with Fruit Juices
Powdered Milk
UHT/Fresh/Liquid Milk
Shelf Stable Milk
Full Fat Shelf Stable Milk
Semi Skimmed Shelf Stable Milk
Fresh Milk
Full Fat Fresh Milk
Fat Free Fresh Milk
Semi Skimmed Fresh Milk
Milk Alternatives
Soy Drinks
Other Milk Alternatives (Almond Milk, Cashew Milk and Rest)
Condensed Milk Products
Plain Condensed Milk
Flavoured Condensed Milk
Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products
Yoghurt
Drinking Yoghurt
Plain Yoghurt
Flavoured Yoghurt
Sour Milk
Ice Cream and Frozen Desserts
Impulse Ice Cream by Type
Single Portion Dairy Ice-Cream
Single Portion Water Ice-Cream
Impulse Ice Cream by Format
Sticks
Cones
Others (Single Serving Cups, Family Pack Tubs, Ice-Cream Cakes and Rest)
Take Home Ice Cream
Bulk Dairy Ice Cream
Multi-Pack Dairy Ice Cream
Take-Home Water Ice Cream
Cheese
Processed Cheese
Spreadable Processed Cheese
Reconstituted Cheese
Cream Cheese
Other Processed Cheese
Unprocessed / Packaged Hard Cheese
Cheddar Cheese
Others (Mozzarella, Provolone, Parmesan, Emmental, Romano, Ricotta and Rest)
Cream
Fresh Whipped Cream
Fresh Half/ Single Cream
Long Life/ UHT Whipped Cream
Butter and Spreads
Butter
Margarine and Spreads
Coffee Whiteners
Product Form
Concentrated/ Thick liquid nondairy creamer
Powdered nondairy creamer
Liquid non-dairy creamer
Fat Type
Medium Fat
Low / No Fat
High Fat
Application
Coffee
Tea
Baking Items
Other Applications (Drinks, Candy and Remaining Concentrated Beverages)
Distribution Channel
Hypermarkets
Supermarkets
Independent Small Grocers
Convenience stores
Other grocery retailers
Non store retailing
Health and beauty specialist retailers
Key Target Audience
Dairy food manufacturers
Milk Processors
Dairy Association
Milk Importers, Distributors and Manufacturers
Condensed Milk Manufacturers and Distributors
Ice-Cream Manufacturers
Frozen Dessert Manufacturers
Yoghurt Manufacturers
Sour Milk Manufacturers
Butter and Spreads Manufacturers
Cheese Manufacturers and Distributors
Dairy Cream Manufacturers
Coffee Whiteners Producers
Time Period Captured in the Report:
Historical Period: 2013-2019P
Forecast Period: 2019P–2025F
Companies Covered:
Drinking Milk Products –
Nestlé SA
Royal FrieslandCampina NV
Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk PT
Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk PT
Greenfields Indonesia PT
Diamond Cold Storage PT
Cisarua Mountain Dairy PT
Fonterra Cooperative Group Ltd
Condensed Milk Products –
Royal FrieslandCampina NV - Frisian Flag Indonesia PT
Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk PT
Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk PT
Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products –
Yakult Honsha Co Ltd
Cisarua Mountain Dairy PT
Asahi Group Holdings Ltd
Royal FrieslandCampina NV
Salim Group
Yummy Food Utama PT
Diamond Cold Storage PT
Heavenly Nutrition Indonesia PT
Ice-Cream and Frozen Desserts –
Unilever Group
Campina Ice Cream Industry PT
Alpen Food Industry PT
Diamond Cold Storage PT
Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk PT
Cheese –
Kraft Heinz Co
Mulia Boga Raya PT
Rokko Butter Co Ltd
Megsnow Milk Brand Co Ltd
Mondelez International Inc
Bel, Groupe
Cream –
Sukanda Djaya - Roselle Whipped Cream
Fonterra Brands Indonesia PT - UHT Anchor
Greenfields Indonesia PT - Whipping Cream
Haan Indonesia - Wippy Cream
Savencia Fromage & Dairy - Elle and Vire - Crème Liquid - Whipping Cream
Pondan Food Creations - Whip Cream
BrookFarm - Whipping Cream
ConAgra Brands - Reddi Wip
Kraft Foods - Cool Whip
Organic Valley - Heavy Whipping Cream
Butter and Spreads –
Upfield Holdings BV / Unilever Group
Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk PT
Fonterra Cooperative Group Ltd
Golden Agri-Resources Ltd
Wysman & Zonen BV, HJ
Coffee Whiteners –
Sari Incofood Corp PT - Max Creamer
Nestle Indonesia - Coffee Mate
Santos Premium Krimer / Kapal Api - Fire Boat Kream Café
PT Lautan Natural Krimerindo - Fiber Crème
Key Topics Covered in the Report: -
Indonesia Frozen Desserts Market Share
Indonesia Cream Market Share
Coffee Whitener Producers in Indonesia
Cheese Manufacturers and Distributors
Dairy Food Hypermarket Indonesia
Indonesia Health and beauty specialist retailers
Indonesia Convenience stores Market
Scope in the Dairy Food Market Indonesia
Indonesia Dairy Food Market Sales Value
Cross Comparison of Dairy Products in Indonesia
Popular Dairy Product Brands Indonesia
Major Dairy Product Categories Indonesia
Popular Take-Away Ice-Cream Market Indonesia
Brand Share in Condensed Milk Market
Major Distribution Centers in Indonesia
Grocery Retailers in Indonesia
Drink Milk Product Sales Indonesia
Indonesia Milk Consumption per Capita
For More Information on the research report, refer to below link: -
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Ken Research
Ankur Gupta, Head Marketing & Communications
Ankur@kenresearch.com
+91-9015378249

Tuesday, May 19, 2020

Prevailing And Emerging Trends In Payment Market Outlook: Ken Research


The market payments have significantly increased more progressively on the surging trends in the worldwide scenario during the recent years. In the recent trend, the populace of the increasing admittance of the digital marketing by the young populace and the augmenting acceptance of the cashless payment modes such as debit and credit cards are few other aspects which influence the market growth of the digital money transfer around the world.

The speedily augmenting the digital payments industry size across the Asia has scaled up hurriedly over the last few years which has led to an augment in credit card utilization. The augment of inexpensive smartphones and succeeding internet and mobile penetration has led to momentous growth in the digital payments space. The individuals in these mature markets are cognizant of digital payments and have increasingly incorporated non-cash methods over the years. Competition within the Asia credit card market was observed as concentrated, showcasing the late growth stage. The competitive growth in the credit card industry of Asia was propelled by the deep client partnerships, durable cross-border growth, noteworthy long-term growth opportunities, and personalized strategies. The foremost operatives in the Asian credit card industry were UnionPay International Co. Ltd., Visa Inc., MasterCard International Inc., JCB Card Co., and Shinhan Financial Group Co. Ltd. in terms of entire cards in circulation and total transaction value throughout the year 2018. Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Ltd conquered in terms of total cards in circulation during the recent past years. It was followed by China Merchants Bank Co Ltd, China Construction Bank Corp and Bank of China Ltd.

The market premeditated is predicted to embellish more significantly, due to the vigorous propagation of the internet. The internet dissemination rate has been recording a strong growth over the past few years, and is anticipated to endure criss crossing the similar trajectory, owing to the growing investments by the internet service providers. Safety is of the dominant prominence in the digital payments. Along an assembly of digital transactions taking place with the help of smartphones, the probabilities of a safety breach exist, exclusively when the most of the mobile wallets and banking presentations do not consolidate the hardware-level security, to generate the online transactions more protected.

The Contactless payment is an alternate payment channel. It utilizes the short-range wireless technologies, namely radio frequency identification (RFID) or near field communication (NFC), to strongly complete payments amongst the contactless card and contactless-empowered PoS terminal. The aspects that propels the usage of the contactless payment involve, but are not restricted to, superfluity of use, speed, and incorporated and seamless appreciative. For instance, it is predicted that the contactless transactions take adjacent to 1/10th of the time taken by the traditional electronic transactions.

The mobile contactless user base amplified more expressively throughout the current past years. Thus, with the growing reception of the mobile and digital payments, contactless payments are predicted to record the growth more significantly. Not only has this, the implementation of the contactless cards is predicted to transmute the landscape of traditional payments, as these cards act as momentous threats to EMV cards and the compelling stripe technology.

Additionally, the E-commerce sales across the region are also significantly augmenting, with the advancement of the digital payment experience. This increment also reflects the consumers’ growing comfort with the online shopping, coupled with their growing the usage of mobile and hand-held devices.

However, the foremost advantages of the digital money transfer are that it often mechanisms 24/7 hours, so it has the unrehearsed user interface. Therefore, in the near future, it is estimated that the Payments Market will augment across the world more immensely over the recent few years.

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Ankur Gupta, Head Marketing & Communications
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India Online B2B Platform Industry Outlook to 2025: Ken Research


Analysts at Ken Research in their latest publication "India Online B2B Platform Industry Outlook to 2025: Driven by Intuitive Vendor Discovery & Increasing Digitalization in Retail Sector of India" observed that the fast-growing Indian retail industry needs to focus on key areas such as logistic infrastructure, market forces of demand & supply, quality checking procedures, SaaS adoption along with innovative ways to enable better vendor discovery  with a view to promote the growth of the sector in a more structured & organized way. The report further talks about the online B2B industry segmentation & the eco-system, detailed profiles of various players in the market along with their service portfolio. It provides an operational analysis of the different business models in the industry & an operational view of the traditional & modern value chain of the retail space in India. Government focus to promote FDI & acquire investments have been thoroughly discussed along with digital penetration & case studies, success stories of various online B2B platforms and the future way forward & analyst recommendation for establishing an online B2B platform in India.

Industry Overview
There are ~25 B2B platforms catering only to the manufacturing MSME’s across India. The industry is at a nascent stage and holds high potential for growth in the future. The highest user penetration is of online listing platforms as many of MSME’s use this service to generate business leads. SaaS has not been able to gain much traction & is very rarely used as of now. Digitization in the supply chain ecosystem, especially with regard to traders, wholesalers, dealers, retailers and consumers using apps and other platform-driven methods hold the key to stickiness and growth in the space. Other major drivers propelling the B2B e-commerce in India would be increased usage of Mobile platforms which are providing app-based solutions for customers problems, development of Artificial Intelligence and Machine learning algorithms to identify buyer’s behavior and segmentation of categories and social media marketing and analytics which will drive traffic and increase user penetration in the market.

Industry Segmentation
The report explores the industry segmentation of online B2B platform players on the basis of demand arising from different regions (Tier-1, Tier-2 and Tier-3 Cities) & basis the nature of platforms (Listing platform and marketplace platform). It further discusses the revenue share of each segment, the major players of those segments & the growth facilitators of the future. The competition is not very high in the industry as there is a lack of vertical platform players in the market, but it is expected with emergence of new players in future, the industry competition would become fierce. In online listing segment, the players compete on the basis of listing charges & subscription rates. IndiaMART is the biggest player in term of users & suppliers and controls a significant share in the online listing platform market. On the other hand, highly invested platforms are focusing on providing business enablement services from SaaS services to logistics services to lending facilities and are focusing on building technology focused services to boost operational efficiency and achieve top line & bottom line benefits. Udaan, Bizongo, Beldara are few examples of such platforms who are offering business enablement services to MSME‘s in India.

Bottlenecks Faced in the Industry
Bad quality of leads along with low conversion rates, high commission charges leading to loss of margins, lack of end to end solutions, lack of quality checking procedures on platforms leading to loss of repetitive business & stringent payment terms and often there is a lack of good credit facilities in the industry, all above factors are considered as major bottlenecks in the industry by online B2B platform players as well as by MSME manufacturers. To overcome such bottlenecks, government is facilitating growth of digital literacy in rural & backward areas to literate the MSMEs of those regions in terms of use of technology and its benefits. Many online B2B platform players are also putting in more money & efforts to get the MSME on-boarded by teaching them about the various services and by providing customizable solution for their businesses to increase revenue and reduce cost.

Future Strategies-The Way Forward
Special focus on vertical marketplace platforms needs to be given in order to acquire expertise. Competition from foreign players with better technological solutions and investment capability could be seen in the industry in the years to come. Development of new categories of retail & wholesale would be leading the innovation scenario, while cost optimization across various service streams will become important along with harnessing Artificial Intelligence, Data Analytics as well as Deep Learning Algorithms to facilitate and identify demand and trend analysis in advance for exploiting future growth opportunity. In future, India online B2B platform industry is expected to grow at a CAGR of ~20.0% during the period FY’2019-FY’2025.

Key Segments Covered:-
By Final Consumption Expenditure in India
Retail Spending on Goods
Other Expenditure (Travel, Real Estate, Auto & More)

By Retail Industry
B2B Retail
B2C Retail

By B2B Retail Industry Entities
Un-Organized B2B Stores
Brand/Distributor Led Stores
Cash & Carry Stores
E-B2B Platforms

By Online B2B Retail Industry Segments
FMCG & Grocery
Consumer Durables & Electronics
Beauty & Personal Care
Fashion & Accessories
Others

By Online B2B Platform
Region of Demand (Tier-1, Tier-2 and Tier-3 Cities)
Nature of Platforms (Listing Platforms and Marketplace Platforms)

Key Target Audience:-
OEM Manufacturers
Online B2B Platforms
3PL Firms
FMCG Industry
E-Commerce Companies
Lending Firms/Companies
Industry Associations
Government Associations
Private Equity and Venture Capitalist Firms

Time Period Captured in the Report:-
Historical Period: FY’2014-FY’2019
Forecast Period: FY’2019-FY’2025

Companies Mentioned:-
Online B2B Platform Competitive Ecosystem
IndiaMart
Trade India
Bizongo
Udaan
Industry Buying
Moglix
Power 2 SME
Shop X
Ninjacart
Jumbotail
Alibaba
Other Players include Tradeford, Wydr, Amazon Business etc.

Key Topics Covered in the Report:-
Present Day Pain Points of MSMEs in B2B Retail Industry of India
Market Sizing Analysis of B2B Retail in India
Market Sizing Analysis of Online B2B Retail in India
Industry Segmentation of Online B2B Retail in India
Ecosystem of E- B2B Platforms in India
Service Portfolio of Indian Online B2B Platforms
Online B2B Marketplace Business Models
Traditional Retail Value Chain & Pain Points Analysis
New Retail Value Chain of Online B2B Players
Digital Penetration of Indian MSMEs in various Online Services/Platforms
Margin Impact of online B2B platform Players on MSME’s Revenue
Major Challenges Faced in Digital Adoption by MSMEs & the Way Forward
Vendor Choosing Criteria for Online B2B Platform Industry
Government Initiatives for Online B2B Platform Development
Case Studies on Online B2B Platforms including Operating Outlook, Financial Analysis and Business
Model, Services, and Investment Analysis & Shareholding Pattern
Feasibility Report on an Online B2B Platform in India

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Ankur Gupta, Head Marketing & Communications
+91-9015378249

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