Thursday, August 10, 2023

KSA Macroeconomic Assessment of Population Disparities in Various Regions of the Country : Ken Research

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Story Outline

  • Saudi Arabia's population is concentrated in urban areas like Riyadh, Jeddah, Mecca, and Medina, leading to regional disparities.
  • Urban areas drive GDP growth and offer job opportunities, while less populated regions face economic challenges.
  • GDP per capita, employment rates, and economic sectors vary significantly across regions.
  • Vision 2030, The ambitious program aims to address regional disparities through diversification and infrastructure development, promoting equitable growth.

Saudi Arabia is a nation of grand contrasts. It is famous for its abundant oil reserves, rich cultural heritage, and vast arid landscapes. However, it also stands out in terms of demographic disparities across its diverse regions.

A macroeconomic analysis of these regional population variances reveals some fascinating insights into Saudi Arabia's economic development.

1. An Overview of KSA's Population Distribution

KSA Macroeconomic landscape

Population density of other KSA Provinces

Saudi Arabia, spread over about 2,149,690 square kilometers, has a population exceeding 35 million in 2023.

The vast majority of the population resides in a few urban areas. The cities of Riyadh, Jeddah, Mecca, and Medina are the most populous, hosting approximately 60% of the total population.

However, beyond these urban centers, population density drops significantly. The less populated regions, such as the Northern Borders, Al Jawf, and Najran, each house less than 2% of the national population.

This stark demographic disparity results from historical, geographical, and economic factors, including the centrality of the Hejaz region in Islamic history, the presence of oil reserves, and Riyadh's development as the political capital.

2. The Economic Implication of Population Disparity

Other Major tourists Cities in KSA

KSA Macroeconomic landscape

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The uneven population distribution has profound macroeconomic implications for Saudi Arabia. The high concentration of population in a few urban areas leads to an excessive strain on infrastructure, housing, and public services in these cities, while underutilization occurs in less populated regions.

Riyadh and the Hejaz region, housing major cities like Jeddah, Mecca, and Medina, are the main economic engines of the country, contributing significantly to GDP. They harbor key sectors including oil and gas, real estate, finance, and the Hajj and Umrah pilgrimages, generating the majority of national income and job opportunities.

In contrast, the sparsely populated Northern Borders region and Al Jawf are predominantly agrarian with lower levels of economic activity. Here, the limitations of water and arable land resources, as well as the scarcity of major urban centers, have hindered robust economic growth.

Despite these challenges, these regions contribute to Saudi Arabia's macroeconomy by providing agricultural products, including dates and wheat.

3. Understanding Regional Disparities through Economic Indicators

KSA Macroeconomic landscape

To further understand the economic disparities between regions, we can analyze key economic indicators like GDP per capita, employment rate, and the sectorial contribution to GDP.

For instance, GDP per capita significantly varies across regions, with urban areas like Riyadh and Eastern Province, with its oil-rich cities like Dhahran and Dammam, having a higher GDP per capita compared to less populated regions.

Similarly, employment rates and average incomes differ notably across the regions. Urban areas, with diverse economies and high concentration of industries, provide more job opportunities and attract more skilled labor compared to agrarian regions, which are usually associated with lower wages and higher unemployment rates.

Also, while the service sector heavily dominates urban regions' economies, primary sectors like agriculture and mining are more relevant in rural and sparsely populated areas.

4. The Vision 2030

KSA Macroeconomic landscape

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To address these regional disparities, the Saudi government initiated the ambitious Vision 2030 program aimed at diversifying the economy away from oil dependency and creating more equitable regional development.

Projects like NEOM, a $500 billion megacity to be built in the Northern region, are steps towards developing infrastructure and creating jobs in the less populated areas. In addition, the expansion of tourism, notably eco-tourism and archaeological tourism, are planned to leverage unique regional attributes and diversify local economies.

Conclusion

In conclusion, a macroeconomic analysis of Saudi Arabia's population reveals a rich mixture of regional variances, underlining the importance of localized strategies in national development planning. The nation's Vision 2030 provides a promising roadmap towards this aim.

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KSA Macroeconomic Assessment

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